Future-proof your project decisions

We help clients optimize their involvement with long-life assets through stress-testing physical and ESG risks

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Test your big decisions with analytics

Hard and soft commodity assets from EV metals to palm oil, operate in increasingly sensitive environments. In ASEAN’s emerging markets, relying on disclosed information is not enough when you need to make robust, long term capital decisions based on how the asset will perform over time.

We help you reach critical decision points through independent, big-picture analytics. Our joined up risk research blends predictive analytics and finely crafted social investigation techniques – going from ticking boxes to providing asset-level probabilities over investment life.  

Understand what’s there today, emerging trends shaping potential downside risks and your investment goals. We help  answer these critical questions – without ‘boots on the ground’, and with greater decision confidence:

What are the Environmental Risks?
Size up your involvement by knowing asset sustainability performance to date. Quickly get a handle on how Governance has played out through estimation of key ESG metrics, habitat and forest degradation, loss of watershed function, water quality, water stress to community encroachment.
What are the Social & Governance Risks?
Formulate resilient community development strategies by understanding prevailing Social and Governance realities such as property encroachment, illegal land clearing, deforestation by smallholders to land conflict.
What are the Climate Risks?
Develop high-confidence, asset scale estimates to improve CAPEX estimates, OPEX and change in asset value for exist planning. Stress-test capital investment desicions through better insights on areas vulnerable to flood, erosion to community water stress.

Who We Are

We are a data driven risk advisory based in Southeast Asia. We assemble agile teams of international specialists with a track record of delivering capital projects for privates, development agencies and banks across Asia Pacific, Europe and Africa. As a Mosaic, we  stress test the complex mix of risks common to ASEAN and emerging market geographies.

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What We Do

In dynamic geographies with complex social and political systems, we build decision confidence by looking beyond data rooms and disclosure reporting. Our approach to project research blends sectoral expertise with scenario- stress test thinking.

We can enhance your understanding of project conditions by considering emerging risk. Our subject matter experts use Machine Learning procedures to forecast material shifts across assets and their operating environments. We deliver research that helps you better estimate downside risks affecting asset operations to corporate reputation.

We bring value to your investment decision space with asset-specific information that improves your evaluation of Renewables, Natural Capital, Agri-commodities, EV  metals, Minerals and long-return infrastructure assets. We provide solutions for the following:

SECOND PARTY OPINION & ENVIRONMENTAL RETURNS
In often unpredictable emerging market geographies, you need assurance on how well Green Bonds’ Use of Proceeds can deliver Environmental Returns – and what loan covenants to consider. We provide an independent view that helps you assess a borrower’s material ESG issues and devise relevant ESG performance targets linked to loan structure.

Our second-party opinion uses predictive analytics to develop an empirical evaluation of asset-specific vulnerabilities and levels of resilience, providing you with that necessary level of confidence to meet market expectations for green bond issuance

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL & GOVERNANCE RISK
With a hands-on understanding of the shortfalls associated with reliance upon ESG performance disclosure, we enhance your confidence during the investment diligence process.

Using an evidence-based approach, we examine potential undeclared or unknown ESG factors material to the investment. Our forward-looking perspective examines the project’s future sustainability performance with time series analysis of people and place factors. Your team gains that fuller appreciation of investment merits and practical advice on what ESG factors to include in financial models. Correspondingly, we can advise on what ESG metrics should be measured and monitored for investment impact, managing risks and opportunities.

INFRASTRUCTURE RESILIANCE
Identify potential asset impairments on mines, dams and transport infrastructure over asset life. We quantify recent ground movement to mm accuracy with satelite radar screening procedures and cumulative risk due to watershed development and stress. Remote identification of existing and emerging physical risk enhances diligence, provides basis to estimate the potential disruption risk to revenue, OPEX and resiliant capital planning for exit and /or asset closure.
ASSET-SCALE CLIMATE PROOFING
Evaluate how climate change will impact assset values and performance. Our asset-scale climate vulnerability analysis examines change in rainfall intensity, water stress and higher ground level temperatures to provide tailored consequence analysis across the asset’s operating footprint.

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Contact Dr Tariq Khalil to discuss your requirements:

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