Future-proofing your project investment decisions
Mosaic provides investors with decision-relevant research that estimates asset-level vulnerability, viability and resilience. Using a suite of blended ESG research methods, we deliver probability-based analysis of your investment impact.
Optimize project impact
Physical and natural capital assets in emerging markets operate in complex and dynamic environments – and often influenced by factors often outside your control. Relying on disclosed information alone is not enough when you need to make confident capital decisions for the long term.
We help you reach critical decision points through independent, big-picture analytics. We set out to understand what’s there today, the nature of potential downside risks and how these could impact your sustainability performance goals.
Our ESG research blends predictive analytics and finely crafted social investigation techniques – going from ticking boxes to providing asset-level probabilities of your investment impact.
We help you answer critical questions – without ‘boots on the ground’, and with greater decision confidence:
What are the Environmental Risks?
Estimate the material stressors at work over investment life. Quickly get a handle on the material signficance of pressure on habitats, forest degradation, loss of watershed function and water stress on asset performanace and near-trem operational resiliance.
What are the Social & Governance Risks?
Formulate resilient community development strategies by understanding the signficance of stakeholder risk. We do this by examining the realities of prevailing Social and Governance on the project’s physical environment, e.g. property encroachment, illegal land clearing, deforestation by smallholders to land conflict.
What are the Climate Risks?
Develop high-confidence, probabilistic estimates of the cost of climate change. Our workflow can efficiently identify assets vulnerable to flood or heat stress and basis to estimate OPEX and asset value for exist planning.
Who We Are
We are a data driven risk advisory firm based in Southeast Asia. We assemble agile teams of international specialists with a track record of delivering capital projects for the private sector and development agencies and banks across Asia Pacific, Europe and Africa. As a Mosaic, we focus our collective expertise on forecasting the complex mix of risks common to ASEAN and emerging market geographies.
What We Do
In dynamic geographies with complex social and political systems, we build decision confidence by looking beyond data rooms and disclosure reporting. Our approach to project research blends sectoral expertise with scenario- stress test thinking.
We can enhance your understanding of project conditions by considering emerging risk. Our subject matter experts examine investment impact with Machine Learning procedures which forecast material shifts across assets and their operating environments. We deliver research that helps you better estimate downside risks affecting asset operations to corporate reputation.
We bring value to your investment decision space with asset-specific information that improves your evaluation of Renewables, Natural Capital, Agri-commodities, Minerals and Infrastructure assets. We provide solutions based on actionable insights in the following project investment areas:
SECOND PARTY OPINION & ENVIRONMENTAL RETURNS
In often unpredictable emerging market geographies, you need assurance on how well Green Bonds’ Use of Proceeds can deliver Environmental Returns – and what loan covenants to consider. We provide an independent view that helps you assess a borrower’s material ESG issues and devise relevant ESG performance targets linked to loan structure.
Our second-party opinion uses predictive analytics to develop an empirical evaluation of asset-specific vulnerabilities and levels of resilience, providing you with that necessary level of confidence to meet market expectations for green bond issuance
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL & GOVERNANCE RISK
With a hands-on understanding of the shortfalls associated with reliance upon ESG performance disclosure, we enhance your confidence during the investment diligence process.
Using an evidence-based approach, we examine potential undeclared or unknown ESG factors material to the investment. Our forward-looking perspective examines the project’s future sustainability performance with time series analysis of people and place factors. Your team gains that fuller appreciation of investment merits and practical advice on what ESG factors to include in financial models. Correspondingly, we can advise on what ESG metrics should be measured and monitored for investment impact, managing risks and opportunities.
Identify potential asset impairments on mines, dams and transport infrastructure over asset life. We quantify recent ground movement to mm accuracy with satelite radar screening procedures and cumulative risk due to watershed development and stress. Remote identification of existing and emerging physical risk enhances diligence, provides basis to estimate the potential disruption risk to revenue, OPEX and resiliant capital planning for exit and /or asset closure.
ASSET-SCALE CLIMATE PROOFING
Evaluate how climate change will impact assset values and performance. Our asset-scale climate vulnerability analysis examines change in rainfall intensity, water stress and higher ground level temperatures to provide tailored consequence analysis across the asset’s operating footprint.